In the Belly of the Beast

So it turns out Kadarius Toney did not curse Sharpshooters.

He just cursed me.

In case you didn’t notice and weren’t missing us terribly, we took a much-needed three-day hiatus in order to cleanse our aura.

While Ani had a perfect 4-0 night on Tuesday, my gambling log since the Toney incident looks much too similar to the Lions’ 2008 season: littered with Ls.

Jayson Tatum, over 26.5 PTS? L. Tatum, 30+ PTS? L. Tatum, 35+ PTS? L. Anthony Davis, over 12.5 REB? L. Davis, 14+ REB? L. Buddy Hield, over 14.5 PTS? L.

Not only are we riding a six-bet losing streak, but those six bets have cost us 6.4 units. Damn you, Kadarius Toney.

Enough is enough. No more. This shit ends today. And it ends by grabbing the bull by the horns. I’m betting on Kadarius Toney.

Let’s ride.

Record Tracker 📉

Mitch’s Favorites: 26-35 (-6.6 units) 😔

Ani’s Favorites: 29-29 (+6.1 units) 🔥

All Other Picks: 44-46 (+1.3 units) 🤞🏼

Overall: 99-110 (+0.8 units)

Mitch’s Favorite Picks 🔓

Kadarius Toney, over 14.5 REC yards (-110 / FanDuel) — 0.5 units

Chiefs @ Patriots, 1:00 PM EST

This play is specifically to reverse my luck. Do I actually think Toney will get 15 receiving yards? Sure, why not.

The Patriots’ secondary is 21st in EPA/Dropback, and Toney — before the incident that shall not be discussed any further — did have four targets and 25 yards (!!!) last week against a pretty good Bills secondary.

I believe in you, Kadarius. Don’t let me down.

Ezekiel Elliott, over 19.5 REC yards (-110 / FanDuel) — 1.5 units

Chiefs @ Patriots, 1:00 PM EST

Since Rhamondre Stevenson went down a couple weeks back, Zeke has gone 2/2 on this mark (72 and 40) and has done it three times in the past four games.

Bailey Zappe targeted the former Cowboys running back eight times last week, while throwing 28 times altogether. In a game in which the Patriots should be trailing for most of it, they’ll be forced to throw the ball just as much, if not more than last week.

Zeke is a solid security blanket for Zappe who could have a tough time completing passes downfield against one of the best secondaries in football.

Other Picks We Like

Giants ML (+215 / FanDuel) — 0.5 units

Giants @ Saints, 1 PM EST

Baker Mayfield, over 1.5 PASS TDs (+140 / FanDuel) — 1 unit

Buccaneers @ Packers, 1 PM EST